Uk General Election 2024 Forecast. Prediction for 632 constituencies of britain (ie, excluding northern ireland) based on 10,000 simulations in which a general election is held “tomorrow”. The labour party won a landslide victory in the uk general election, held on july 4, 2024, winning 412 seats, with keir starmer becoming british prime minister.

The 2024 market has not acted in tandem with previous election years, as we typically begin. A projection of how the uk would vote if a general election would be held today, based on current polling weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy.